The same statistical market analysis behind the HMI methodology — now working for you in an actual transaction. Buyer, seller, and tenant representation across Maricopa County. Todd Hurst, agent with Space, brokered by LPT Realty.
Most agents price a home by pulling comps and adjusting on gut feel. That works until it doesn't. My job is to protect your position with real market intelligence — not assumptions. The methodology is statistical, the advice is grounded in data, and you'll see where your property sits in its real competitive set before you ever settle on a number.
What would change if your agent's pricing could withstand any scrutiny? Statistical analysis of the competitive market replaces gut-feel adjustments with defensible positioning backed by real data.
How confident would you feel if your agent understood exactly where your property sits — not just today, but in the context of absorption trends, price-per-square-foot distributions, and competitive inventory?
Negotiations go differently when your representative shows up with scatterplots, trend lines, and absorption data instead of opinions. My obligation is to your outcome.
Before you write an offer, you'll see the same market intelligence I use — where the property sits in the competitive set, what comparable buyers have paid, and what the data says about the asking price. You'll know whether the number holds up before you commit to it. That's not a gut feeling. That's the HMI methodology working for you in a real transaction.
My job isn't to tell you what to offer. My job is to make sure you have the data to make that decision yourself — and to represent your interests as a fiduciary from first showing through closing.
I'm not going to walk in and tell you what to list your home for. Nobody can predict what will happen once a property hits the market. What I will show you is where your property sits within its competing group — based on how buyers in your area are actually behaving. You'll see the range of successful transactions over the timeframe that matters to you, what your potential buyers' other options look like, and where the challenges are. You look at that data and you pick your price. That's your decision, not mine.
The best any agent can do is estimate what may happen based on prior market behavior. The difference is whether that estimate comes from gut feel or from a statistical analysis of what buyers actually did. I bring you the analysis. You make the call.
Looking to rent? Space works with tenants too. Same approach — you'll see what the data says about the market you're renting in, so you're negotiating from information, not guesswork.
That I'm only in it for the commission. That I'll list your home and disappear, or write your offer and stop returning calls. I get it — that's what a lot of people have experienced. Here's the difference: I'm an agent with Space, brokered by LPT Realty — a full-service residential team and a Zillow Premier Agency. When you work with me, you get me on your deal and a full team behind it, so you're never left waiting on an answer during the moments that matter: pricing, negotiation, contract review, closing. You've already seen what I build — the methodology, the tools, the YouTube channel. None of it exists to sell you anything; it exists because this is how markets should be analyzed. If you're in Maricopa County and you want an agent who prices on statistics and tells you the truth even when it's uncomfortable, that's what this page is about.
If you list without understanding your competitive position, you'll either leave money on the table or sit on the market while your home goes stale. If you buy without knowing what the data actually says, you'll find out the hard way when the appraisal comes back or when you try to sell in three years. Most agents will hand you a number and tell you to trust them. I'd rather hand you the data and let you make your own informed decision — even when what it shows is uncomfortable.
You can go with a discount agent and hope the numbers work out. You can go with someone who lists your home and then hands you off. Or you can work with an agent who builds your pricing on statistical analysis, tells you the truth upfront, and represents you from first showing through closing — with a full team behind the work.
My fee is 3% of the final sales price. That may be a deal-killer for you, and I understand that. But if you want an agent who brings real data, statistical market analysis, and a full team behind your transaction — not just access to a lockbox — that's what it covers. I'd rather lose the listing than lie about your price.
If you're buying, selling, or renting in Maricopa County and you want the same statistical methodology you've seen in the HMI Project applied to your transaction, this is where that conversation starts. No pitch. Just data.
Contact Todd